Blog Archives

General Election Forecast – Update

Last month I shared the first draft of my General Election forward looking forecast for the 2015 vote in the UK. I’ve now updated the model (see below) and publish the latest forecast. Remember, the model works on the following

Posted in Elections, Statistics, UK Politics

What next to predict? I know. Elections!

So… We can use monte carlo methodology to simulate the last few games of the Premiership and we’ve seen how what we produced was pretty much in line with what the betting markets were predicting (which is normally a good

Posted in Statistics, UK Politics

Five Powerful Questions

Tony Benn 1925 -2014

Posted in UK News, UK Politics

Guest Post – Andrew Lilico on the Gay Change Bill

A guest post by Andrew Lilico. Peter has noted that the Counsellors and Psychotherapists (Regulation) Bill contains two specific prohibitions on “gay to straight conversion therapies”.  First, the Bill mandates that a new code of ethics for registered counsellors, therapists

Posted in Legal Stuff, Reparative Therapy, UK News, UK Politics

The Ex-Gay Therapy Bill

So the Counsellors and Psychotherapists (Regulation) Bill has been published and it’s exactly what I expected. A BILL TO Provide that the Health Professionals Council be the regulatory body for counsellors and psychotherapists; and for connected purposes. BE IT ENACTED

Posted in Legal Stuff, Reparative Therapy, UK News, UK Politics

Russell Brand on Newsnight

Russell Brand was on Newsnight on Wednesday evening and lots of people have been commenting on what he said. Lots of it has been quite laudatory, so one wonders what it was he shared that was so inspiring. Have you

Posted in UK Politics

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Anglican Cycle


14th Week after Trinity
Almighty God, you search us and know us: may we rely on you in strength and rest on you in weakness, now and in all our days; through Jesus Christ our Lord.

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Two Final Things

Aber mit der Heimat
geht man immer herum,
durch die Welt,
dort und dort
Peter Handke

No one could describe
the Word of the Father;
but when He took flesh from you, O Theotokos,
He consented to be described, and restored the fallen image to its former beauty.
We confess and proclaim our salvation in word and image.
Kontakion of the Triumph of Orthodoxy