A fascinating interview with Jim Messina who has been hired by the Conservatives in the UK to help them at the next General Election. Amazing stuff. They basically modelled elector behaviour and worked out what things made people more likely …

Modelling Elector Behaviour Read more »

Last week the US Senate failed to enact the proposed gun reform laws that Obama and others were pressing to get through Congress. The response to this from some in the United States was of horror and disbelief, but sometimes …

Guns Don’t Kill People, Statisticians Do Read more »

Last Update – 0900 GMT 6th November What’s that I hear you say? You want me to put my statistical analytical skills to work to predict the outcome of the Presidential Election in the USA on Tuesday? Why certainly! I’m …

Predicting the USA Read more »

Fascinating developments in the USA where, as North Carolina comes out and votes yes on Amendment One (banning the recognition not just of gay marriage but Civil Unions in the State), President Obama comes out and declares his support for …

The Religious Politics of Same-Sex Marriage Read more »

A very interesting test case is coming up in the USA around the recognition of same-sex marriage. As you might recall, two weeks ago a stage collapsed at the Indiana State Fair, killing a number of people. An awful moment …

Interesting Marriage Equality Case in the US Read more »