Paul Goodman is the editor of Conservative Home. Here’s his piece today. No political party should alter a bedrock institution without the following conditions applying – especially if it is the Conservative Party.  A sizeable campaign to change that institution …

Paul Goodman on Same-Sex Marriage Read more »

Given the kind of headlines we’ve had over the past 48 hours, I wanted to explore why it was so hard to predict how many seats UKIP would have picked up on Thursday. If you look down my blog, you’ll …

Like a Blanket of Snow – Why UKIP did so Poorly Read more »

I have taken the local elections opinion poll from ComRes (published on the 30th of April) and looked at how the projected share of the vote converts into local county council and unitary authority seats. I have also examined the …

2013 Local Elections – Predictions Read more »

Inspired by a post on Political Betting over Christmas, I thought it would be interesting to look at the rise of UKIP in the polls over 2012 and to see whether the claim that UKIP voters were mainly switching from …

Where are UKIP’s votes coming from? Read more »

Adrian Warnock finishes off his series. My biggest problem with Brown is that he does not seem like a good leader to me. Decisions seem to be dithered about for too long, and not clearly communicated when they are made. …

Adrian Warnock on Voting Conservative – Part 3 Read more »