Given the kind of headlines we’ve had over the past 48 hours, I wanted to explore why it was so hard to predict how many seats UKIP would have picked up on Thursday. If you look down my blog, you’ll …

Like a Blanket of Snow – Why UKIP did so Poorly Read more »

I have taken the local elections opinion poll from ComRes (published on the 30th of April) and looked at how the projected share of the vote converts into local county council and unitary authority seats. I have also examined the …

2013 Local Elections – Predictions Read more »

… and that is coalition by-election candidates. A lot of fuss today in centre right blogs on how to respond to the result overnight from the by-election. Conservative Home has joined the criticism of some in the Tory party of …

Oldham East and Saddleworth points in one direction Read more »

It should already be obvious to my US readers from this post that UK Christians are far from united in their political views.  Not for us a reflex vote in favor of the most Conservative, right-wing party. There is a …

Adrian Warnock on why he’s voting Conservative Read more »

His Grace writes this morning about how Parliament is at the verge of one of those historic events that shape our corporate political life for decades, if not centuries. This Wednesday, Her Majesty comes to the Palace of Westminster for …

A Moment in History Read more »