Inspired by a post on Political Betting over Christmas, I thought it would be interesting to look at the rise of UKIP in the polls over 2012 and to see whether the claim that UKIP voters were mainly switching from …

Where are UKIP’s votes coming from? Read more »

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Last Update – 0900 GMT 6th November What’s that I hear you say? You want me to put my statistical analytical skills to work to predict the outcome of the Presidential Election in the USA on Tuesday? Why certainly! I’m …

Predicting the USA Read more »

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Here is my final prediction for the Austrian Election this Sunday, based on recent polling. [singlepic=9,575,350] This is the chart of the weighted moving average of poll results this month. You can see that in the past week the ÖVP …

Austria – Final Prediction Read more »

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