Inspired by a post on Political Betting over Christmas, I thought it would be interesting to look at the rise of UKIP in the polls over 2012 and to see whether the claim that UKIP voters were mainly switching from …

Where are UKIP’s votes coming from? Read more »

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Here is my final prediction for the Austrian Election this Sunday, based on recent polling. [singlepic=9,575,350] This is the chart of the weighted moving average of poll results this month. You can see that in the past week the ÖVP …

Austria – Final Prediction Read more »

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Nadine Dorries reports how it doesn’t get any better than this in terms of the 10p tax debacle. Stood at the till paying for my toasted tea cake and tea just as the lovely members’ tea room staff were handed …

How Gordon annoyed the most important people… Read more »

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