Statistics | An Exercise in the Fundamentals of Orthodoxy

Quick Thoughts on CofE Figures

By Peter Ould, on May 8th, 2013%

Unfortunately I don’t have time at the moment to do the serious analysis I did last year on the CofE attendance figures that have just been released. That said, a few observations from ten minutes spent in Excel.

Average Sunday Attendance continues to decline. The rate of decline 2010 to 2011 (-10,600) is less than . . . → Read More: Quick Thoughts on CofE Figures

Like a Blanket of Snow - Why UKIP did so Poorly

By Peter Ould, on May 4th, 2013%

Given the kind of headlines we’ve had over the past 48 hours, I wanted to explore why it was so hard to predict how many seats UKIP would have picked up on Thursday. If you look down my blog, you’ll see that I made a bold prediction of huge UKIP gains, but in the event . . . → Read More: Like a Blanket of Snow – Why UKIP did so Poorly

Guns Don't Kill People, Statisticians Do

By Peter Ould, on April 22nd, 2013%

Last week the US Senate failed to enact the proposed gun reform laws that Obama and others were pressing to get through Congress. The response to this from some in the United States was of horror and disbelief, but sometimes made quite intelligently like the video below.

Of course John Oliver’s argument about drugs . . . → Read More: Guns Don’t Kill People, Statisticians Do

Gay Marriage – ComRes Polls

By Peter Ould, on February 4th, 2013%

This weekend ComRes published a whole raft of polls on the Gay Marriage issue. There are polls on general party support, ethnic minorities, general public opinion, teachers and sexual orientation minorities.

Some observations.

The LGB survey is fascinating simply on the male / female splits. Twice as many men as women identify as LGB and . . . → Read More: Gay Marriage – ComRes Polls

Where are UKIP's votes coming from?

By Peter Ould, on January 7th, 2013%

Inspired by a post on Political Betting over Christmas, I thought it would be interesting to look at the rise of UKIP in the polls over 2012 and to see whether the claim that UKIP voters were mainly switching from the Conservatives had any merit.

I’ve taken all of the ComRes surveys in 2012 and . . . → Read More: Where are UKIP’s votes coming from?