Euro Elections – The Results
So, (almost) all the results are in. If you want to see national tallies then hie thee over to the BBC. As at the time of writing it’s almost complete, just waiting for some of the Scottish islands to count. …
Category: Elections
Final Euros Prediction
This is my final European Election prediction. (Updated 17:00 to reflect updated YouGov and Opinium data). Changes are reflected on GB figures from 2009. I am not predicting the result in Northern Ireland. In this prediction I have included probability forecasts …
Updated Euros Prediction – Point in Time
As promised, an updated point in time European Election prediction, attempting to predict what would happen if the European Election was happening today. I will try and update it again on Thursday (when it will become a live prediction of …
Euros Prediction – Point in Time
This is a point in time European Election prediction, attempting to predict what would happen if the European Election was happening today. I will try and update it on Sunday and then again next Thursday (when it will become a …
General Election Forecast – Update
Last month I shared the first draft of my General Election forward looking forecast for the 2015 vote in the UK. I’ve now updated the model (see below) and publish the latest forecast. Remember, the model works on the following …
UK General Election Prediction
I wrote a week or so ago about using some statistical methodology to try and predict the forthcoming General Election in the UK. I’ve now undertaken my first run of the model I developed and the results are below. Remember, …