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Home › Archive for Elections

Category: Elections

Euro Elections – The Results

By Peter Ould Posted on May 26, 2014 Posted in Elections, Statistics 1 Comment

So, (almost) all the results are in. If you want to see national tallies then hie thee over to the BBC. As at the time of writing it’s almost complete, just waiting for some of the Scottish islands to count. …

Euro Elections – The Results Read more »

Final Euros Prediction

By Peter Ould Posted on May 21, 2014 Posted in Elections, Statistics No Comments

This is my final European Election prediction. (Updated 17:00 to reflect updated YouGov and Opinium data). Changes are reflected on GB figures from 2009. I am not predicting the result in Northern Ireland. In this prediction I have included probability forecasts …

Final Euros Prediction Read more »

Updated Euros Prediction – Point in Time

By Peter Ould Posted on May 18, 2014 Posted in Elections, Statistics No Comments

As promised, an updated point in time European Election prediction, attempting to predict what would happen if the European Election was happening today. I will try and update it again on Thursday (when it will become a live prediction of …

Updated Euros Prediction – Point in Time Read more »

Euros Prediction – Point in Time

By Peter Ould Posted on May 15, 2014 Posted in Elections, Statistics No Comments

This is a point in time European Election prediction, attempting to predict what would happen if the European Election was happening today. I will try and update it on Sunday and then again next Thursday (when it will become a …

Euros Prediction – Point in Time Read more »

General Election Forecast – Update

By Peter Ould Posted on May 7, 2014 Posted in Elections, Statistics, UK Politics 1 Comment

Last month I shared the first draft of my General Election forward looking forecast for the 2015 vote in the UK. I’ve now updated the model (see below) and publish the latest forecast. Remember, the model works on the following …

General Election Forecast – Update Read more »

UK General Election Prediction

By Peter Ould Posted on April 14, 2014 Posted in Elections, Statistics 3 Comments

I wrote a week or so ago about using some statistical methodology to try and predict the forthcoming General Election in the UK. I’ve now undertaken my first run of the model I developed and the results are below. Remember, …

UK General Election Prediction Read more »

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Two Final Things

Aber mit der Heimat
geht man immer herum,
durch die Welt,
dort und dort
Peter Handke

No one could describe
the Word of the Father;
but when He took flesh from you, O Theotokos,
He consented to be described, and restored the fallen image to its former beauty.
We confess and proclaim our salvation in word and image.
Kontakion of the Triumph of Orthodoxy

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