Euro Elections – The Results
So, (almost) all the results are in. If you want to see national tallies then hie …
Elections
Final Euros Prediction
This is my final European Election prediction. (Updated 17:00 to reflect updated YouGov and Opinium data). Changes …
Updated Euros Prediction – Point in Time
As promised, an updated point in time European Election prediction, attempting to predict what would happen …
Euros Prediction – Point in Time
This is a point in time European Election prediction, attempting to predict what would happen if …
General Election Forecast – Update
Last month I shared the first draft of my General Election forward looking forecast for the …
UK General Election Prediction
I wrote a week or so ago about using some statistical methodology to try and predict …
Austrian Election – Review
So, a quick review of my predictions (with all votes in and only postal ballots left …
Austria Election Prediction – Final
The main difficulty in predicting the Austrian Election is that there are practically no polls in …
Australian Elections – Review
So, a quick review of my predictions (with 75% of the vote in). Seats – I …
Like a Blanket of Snow – Why UKIP did so Poorly
Given the kind of headlines we’ve had over the past 48 hours, I wanted to explore …