Paul Goodman is the editor of Conservative Home. Here’s his piece today. No political party should alter a bedrock institution without the following conditions applying – especially if it is the Conservative Party.  A sizeable campaign to change that institution …

Paul Goodman on Same-Sex Marriage Read more »

Charles Moore in the Telegraph nails it. Such lobbyists naturally believed that all you had to do to allow gay marriage was to extend to same-sex couples exactly the same law as applied to existing, heterosexual marriages. Too late, they …

The Mess the Government is In Read more »

Given the kind of headlines we’ve had over the past 48 hours, I wanted to explore why it was so hard to predict how many seats UKIP would have picked up on Thursday. If you look down my blog, you’ll …

Like a Blanket of Snow – Why UKIP did so Poorly Read more »

We’ve had six councils declared overnight and the results are showing a definite pattern. Although the UKIP vote is rising quite dramatically across the country, it’s not rising in a targeted manner. Where UKIP have previously not contested a seat they have …

Election Results – Initial Analysis Read more »

I have taken the local elections opinion poll from ComRes (published on the 30th of April) and looked at how the projected share of the vote converts into local county council and unitary authority seats. I have also examined the …

2013 Local Elections – Predictions Read more »